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WILL SAARC TURN INTO AN
ECONOMIC UNION?
"We will have time to
reach the Millennium Development Goals –
worldwide and in most, or even all,
individual countries – but only if we
break with business as usual.
We cannot win overnight. Success will
require sustained action across the
entire decade between now and the
deadline. It takes time to train the
teachers, nurses and engineers; to build
the roads, schools and hospitals; to
grow the small and large businesses able
to create the jobs and income needed. So
we must start now. And we must more than
double global development assistance
over the next few years. Nothing less
will help to achieve
the Goals."
United Nations Secretary-General
Kofi A. Annan |
Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers are
prepared by governments in low-income
countries through a participatory process
involving domestic stakeholders and external
development partners, including the IMF and
the World Bank. A PRSP describes the
macroeconomic, structural and social policies
and programs that a country will pursue over
several years to promote broad-based growth
and reduce poverty, as well as external
financing needs and the associated sources of
financing.
The world economy has grown steadily in recent
decades, bringing widespread prosperity and
lifting many millions out of poverty,
especially in Asia. Nevertheless, in the next
25 years, the world's population is projected
to grow by about 2 billion people, most of
which will be born in developing and emerging
market economies. Without concerted efforts by
countries to help themselves through sound
policies and by the development community to
increase its support of countries' own
efforts, many of these people will be doomed
to poverty.
The PRSP approach, initiated by the IMF and
the World Bank in 1999, is a comprehensive
country-based strategy for poverty reduction.
It aims to provide the crucial link between
national public actions, donor support, and
the development outcomes needed to meet the
United Nations' Millennium Development Goals (MDGs),
which are centered on halving poverty between
1990 and 2015.
Five core principles underlie the PRSP
approach. Poverty reduction strategies are:
• country-driven, promoting national
ownership of strategies through broad-based
participation of civil society;
• result-oriented and focused on
outcomes that will benefit the poor;
• comprehensive in recognizing the
multidimensional nature of poverty;
• partnership-oriented, involving
coordinated participation of development
partners (government, domestic stakeholders,
and external donors); and
• based on a long-term perspective for
poverty reduction.
Salient Features
Under pressure from donors, Poverty
Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) was placed
before the Executive Committee on the National
Economic Council (ECNEC) for consideration.
The country’s donors will release the decision
in December this year as desired. The
three-year strategic document has already been
reviewed by the 21-member National Steering
Committee on the PRSP headed by principal
secretary to the Prime Minister, Dr Kamal
Uddin Siddiqui.
Despite Bangladesh's a sustained 5.5 per cent
economic growth in the last decade, poverty
remains a nagging problem. Around 48 percent
(>68 million) of the population is still
living on less than a dollar a day, a
benchmark of the United Nations to measure
poverty.
The revised PRSP document also includes the
issues of good governance, corruption and
administrative reform as desired by donors. It
also includes tourism, urban poverty, land and
the rights of indigenous people, graft, and
targets of the economic growth and export. The
General Economics Division (GED) of the
Planning Commission would monitor the status
of the ultra-poor, and track implementation
process in the next three years. The final
PRSP would see an updated medium term
macro-economic framework (MTMF) and policy
matrices.
The PRSP contains time-bound action plans and
various reforms measures. It seeks to attack
poverty on five different fronts: adequate
thrust was given to agriculture and rural
non-farm sectors as the main areas for
employment generation. About a million people
join the workforce every year: emphasis has to
be given to the sectors that can create jobs
in huge numbers).
The growth projection of the GDP by FY07 could
halve its poverty by 2015 as per the
Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), even if
the country enjoys 6.5 per cent growth in next
10 years. The donors estimate that the country
needs to achieve growth rate of 7.0 per cent
per annum to achieve the MDG by 2015.
The document focuses on eight priority
areas-employment, nutrition, quality
education, eternal health, sanitation, law and
order, good governance, and monitoring. To
generate employment, priority has been given
to the areas like agriculture and agro-based
industry, small and medium enterprise (SMEs),
development of rural infrastructure, and
information communication technology (ICT
Economists believe that the PRSP has targeted
private sector-led growth so that investment
is made in the country efficiently. Good
governance is one of the four supporting
strategies in the PRSP as the success of the
PRSP will largely depend on curbing
corruption, combating crimes, making the
judiciary accessible to the poor and ensuring
good-governance through devolution of power to
the local administration. In fact, the heart
of the PRSP is a policy matrix it has
suggested for the next three years.
According to the medium-term macro-economic
framework, set in the PRSP, the economy will
grow at a rate of 5.5, 6.0 and 6.5 per cent
between FY05 and FY07. Inflation will be kept
at 6.5, 5.5 and 5.0 per cent in the next three
fiscals. Fiscal deficit will be bottled up at
4.5 per cent of the GDP by FY07 while keeping
domestic borrowing at 1.9 per cent and
external loans and grants at 2.6 per cent of
the GDP by FY07. The growth of exports and
imports has conservatively been set at 7.0 and
9.5 per cent by FY07 while private credit and
broad money will, as a proportion of GDP, be
15.2 per cent and 13.5 per cent respectively
by FY07.
There must be a multi-dimensional poverty
reduction strategy that encompasses human
development, reduces vulnerability and
promotes social inclusion and empowerment as
well. Moreover the country's growth has seen
growing inequality that has reduced its
poverty reduction impact.
The drawback of the document, as envisaged by
the civil society, is that it reaffirms and
rests on the belief that proper macroeconomic
policies lead to poverty reduction. Only
micro-economic improvements i.e. only better
incomes for each individual family - result in
broad-based economic progress, which results
in broad-based GDP growth.
Macro-economic approaches that ignore
micro-economic realities have proved time and
again to be pro-rich policies, which result in
widening inequality.
The final PRSP has to be tuned to the actual
requirements of the country's teeming millions
in order to both accelerate growth and make it
more pro-poor. A more pro-poor sustainable
pattern of growth must have the potential to
be more equitable.
-by MF Karim
Business and poverty reduction
Business must work toward poverty reduction.
This is good business. The equation is simple.
Lower poverty level equals higher purchasing
capacity. Around the world, many business
houses are conscious of this relationship.
Some in Bangladesh are aware too.
Populations living in poverty do not create
market demand. They exist at the subsistence
level, and nothing more. Business loses out as
a result. That apart, business must return
some of its wealth to society which generates
it. At the individual level, poverty comes
from an absence of opportunity. Business can
help create opportunities through
philanthropic efforts in health care and
education, in particular. This is its social
responsibility.
At the national level, poverty indicates
absent or poor growth and development. Growth
results from presence of infrastructure such
as roads, power, schools, water supply, health
care, etc. Business can help by indicating to
governments inadequacies in infrastructure. It
is important for business to do so and to
partner in their removal. In the absence of
adequate facilities, the cost of doing
business increases. This is detrimental to
all- the consumer, the state and business
itself.
In Bangladesh, some of the leading business
houses contribute to poverty reduction and
social improvement. However, this is largely
with marketing content as sponsors of cultural
and sporting events. Such efforts may have
significant impact in creating brand equity
and temporary demand but their long- term
impact, if any, is surely marginal.
Business has to shift focus to infrastructure
development as it has a strong correlation
with poverty reduction. Given the size of our
business houses, going it alone is not always
feasible. Public-private partnership is the
answer. We have some examples of this in the
Dhaka beautification project. This is a good
example of long-term beneficial public-private
cooperation.
This attempt needs to be taken a step further.
Accordingly business houses will lend its
expertise in technology and management and, of
course, money while the public sector provides
the enabling environment and non-market
finance. In the area of philanthropy, the
areas which suggest themselves are generous
and continuing support to public universities,
cultural events, scientific research and
scholarships.
In doing all this, business builds capacity.
Not the capacity that is reflected in their
factory or organization size but capacity that
is reflected in the market or nation that it
operates in. Here capacity building is
creation of skills in technology, in health
care, in community service and even in farming
and agriculture. This is not a costly or
difficult task. All business houses have
training expertise and facilities in one or
more fields. These are not necessarily in use
at all times. The general public can be made
to benefit.
In time, the business community here will find
that public-private participation in poverty
reduction has helped the poor and business in
almost equal measure.
- by Joseph Michael Pereira
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